Elicitation of Expert Opinions for Uncertainty and Risks Book PDF, ePub eBook

Join our eBook service for unlimited books & audiobooks. Get a free 7 day subscription! ↓↓↓↓↓


Book Descriptions:
Experts, despite their importance and value, can be double-edged swords. They can make valuable contributions from their deep base of knowledge, but those contributions may also contain their own biases and pet theories. Therefore, selecting experts, eliciting their opinions, and aggregating their opinions must be performed and handled carefully, with full recognition of the uncertainties inherent in those opinions.

Elicitation of Expert Opinions for Uncertainty and Risks illuminates those uncertainties and builds a foundation of philosophy, background, methods, and guidelines that helps its readers effectively execute the elicitation process. Based on the first-hand experiences of the author, the book is filled with illustrations, examples, case studies, and applications that demonstrate not only the methods and successes of expert opinion elicitation, but also its pitfalls and failures.

Studies show that in the future, analysts, engineers, and scientists will need to solve ever more complex problems and reach decisions with limited resources. This will lead to an increased reliance on the proper treatment of uncertainty and on the use of expert opinions. Elicitation of Expert Opinions for Uncertainty and Risks will help prepare you to better understand knowledge and ignorance, to successfully elicit expert opinions, to select appropriate expressions of those opinions, and to use various methods to model and aggregate opinions.

Elicitation of Expert Opinions for Uncertainty and Risks by Bilal M. Ayyub

From reader reviews:

Bruce Jones:

The book Elicitation of Expert Opinions for Uncertainty and Risks will bring one to the new experience of reading a book. The author style to elucidate the idea is very unique. Should you try to find new book to learn, this book very suitable to you. The book Elicitation of Expert Opinions for Uncertainty and Risks is much recommended to you to see. You can also get the e-book in the official web site, so you can quickly to read the book.

Donald Farrell:

Playing with family in a park, coming to see the coastal world or hanging out with pals is thing that usually you may have done when you have spare time, after that why you don't try factor that really opposite from that. One activity that make you not sensation tired but still relaxing, trilling like on roller coaster you have been ride on and with addition of information. Even you love Elicitation of Expert Opinions for Uncertainty and Risks, you are able to enjoy both. It is good combination right, you still need to miss it? What kind of hang type is it? Oh can occur its mind hangout fellas. What? Still don't buy it, oh come on its known as reading friends.

Charles Barton:

As a student exactly feel bored to help reading. If their teacher questioned them to go to the library in order to make summary for some reserve, they are complained. Just minor students that has reading's heart and soul or real their hobby. They just do what the professor want, like asked to the library. They go to generally there but nothing reading very seriously. Any students feel that reading is not important, boring along with can't see colorful photographs on there. Yeah, it is to be complicated. Book is very important in your case. As we know that on this time, many ways to get whatever we wish. Likewise word says, ways to reach Chinese's country. So , this Elicitation of Expert Opinions for Uncertainty and Risks can make you really feel more interested to read.

Danielle Rucks:

Reading a reserve make you to get more knowledge as a result. You can take knowledge and information from the book. Book is created or printed or highlighted from each source that will filled update of news. On this modern era like currently, many ways to get information are available for you actually. From media social similar to newspaper, magazines, science e-book, encyclopedia, reference book, novel and comic. You can add your understanding by that book. Are you hip to spend your spare time to open your book? Or just looking for the Elicitation of Expert Opinions for Uncertainty and Risks when you essential it?